SARS-CoV-2 Infections May Have First Emerged in Hubei as Early as October 2019: Recent Study

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“Timing the SARS-CoV-2 index case in Hubei province,” a recent study published by ScienceMag, indicates that the SARS-CoV-2 infections may have first emerged in Hubei as early as October 2019.
“Timing the SARS-CoV-2 index case in Hubei province,” a recent study published by ScienceMag, indicates that the SARS-CoV-2 infections may have first emerged in Hubei as early as October 2019.

Timing the SARS-CoV-2 index case in Hubei province,” a recent study published by ScienceMag, indicates that the SARS-CoV-2 infections may have first emerged in Hubei as early as October 2019.

As both Chinese and Americans anxiously await the World Health Organization (WHO) investigative report about the origins of the virus, the recent ScienceMag study by University of San Diego researchers states that: “It is highly probable that SARS-CoV-2 was circulating in Hubei province at low levels in early-November 2019 and possibly as early as October 2019, but not earlier.”

The WHO investigation team’s 28-day mission is rumored to have come up with no major findings. It took months of pressure from several countries demanding transparency from China about their knowledge of the origins of the virus before the WHO opened the investigation. The amount of time that has elapsed since the virus first emerged has thus considerably diminished the possibility of uncovering evidence. In addition, Chinese officials have admitted to destroying early samples of the virus.

According to reporting by the Guardian, “Chinese officials did ‘little’ in terms of epidemiological investigations into the origins of the Covid-19 pandemic in Wuhan in the first eight months after the outbreak.”

CCP officials have countered allegations regarding their lack of transparency by shifting the blame, pointing to a lack of U.S. transparency through conspiracy theories about how the virus could have originated in the U.S.

CCP Foreign Ministry spokesperson Hua Chunying attempted to link lung damage from vaping in America in 2019 to coronavirus cases caused by a U.S. Army laboratory leak. This account lacks credibility, as there was not a high number of lung injuries from vaping in the vicinity of the U.S. Army laboratory she referred to.

Another CCP Foreign Ministry spokesperson Zhao Lijian recently mocked American calls for transparency on Twitter, stating “When did patient zero begin in [the] US? How many people are infected? What are the names of the hospitals? It might be [the] US army who brought the epidemic to Wuhan. Be transparent! Make public your data! [The] US owe[s] us an explanation!”

Health workers dressed in personal protective equipment (PPE) handle a coronavirus test at a drive-thru testing station at Cummings Park on March 23, 2020 in Stamford, Connecticut. Availability of protective clothing for medical workers has become a major issue as COVID-19 cases surge throughout the United States. The Stamford site is run by Murphy Medical Associates.
STAMFORD, CT – MARCH 23: Health workers dressed in personal protective equipment (PPE) handle a coronavirus test at a drive-thru testing station at Cummings Park on March 23, 2020 in Stamford, Connecticut. Availability of protective clothing for medical workers has become a major issue as COVID-19 cases surge throughout the United States. The Stamford site is run by Murphy Medical Associates. (Image: John Moore/Getty Images)

The ScienceMag study specified that weaker forms of covid may have jumped from animals to humans many times, although many strains died out due to the strength of the human immune system. “Finding the animal reservoir, or hypothetical intermediate host, will help to further narrow down the date, location, and circumstances of the original Sars-CoV-2 infection in humans.”

The study stated, “SARS-CoV-2 may be detectable should archived wastewater samples or other biomaterials from Hubei province exist from early-to-mid November 2019, and incorporating these types of data in our model could further refine our timing estimates. Moreover, wastewater detection may present the best chance of early detection of future pandemics during the early phase of spread where we estimate very low numbers of infections”

The South China Morning Post recently reported on the highly anticipated results of the WHO investigation. They referred to a CCP backed Global Times article which stated “international experts are facing political pressure,” and that the report may “deviate from the previous consensus,” likely referring to the team being unable to confirm that the virus did not originate in the Wuhan Virology Lab.

Peter Embarek of the investigation team has said that experts “did not have permission for a full laboratory audit.” The report further states that, “U.S. and Britain have questioned China’s transparency during the WHO visit, and several members of the international team said they did not have access [to] all the data they would have liked.”The Biden administration has been very critical of the recent investigation and the lack of information provided by China, but will still give $200 million to the WHO by the end of March, according to a Fox News report.

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  • David Wagner is a University of Manitoba graduate with a Bachelor of Arts in Religion in Sociology. He is interested in the psychology of religious and ideological belief and the relationship between religions and the state in totalitarian countries.